Additional 1,414 Tamworth Rented Homes Required by 2027

I have been doing some research, looking both at National and Regional reports on the demand and supply of property and people together with future projections on the economy, population and family demographics with some interesting results.  According to the Office of National Statistics, in the last financial year nationally, private renting grew by 74,000 households, whilst the owner occupied dwelling stock increased by 101,000 and social (aka council and housing association) stock increased by 12,000 dwellings.

It was the private rental figures that caught my eye.  With eight or nine years of recovery since the Credit Crunch, economic recovery and continuing low interest rates have done little to setback the mounting need for rented housing.  In fact, with house price inflation pushing upwards much quicker than wage growth, this has meant to make owning one’s home even more out of reach for many Millennials, all at a time when the number of council/social housing has shrunk by just over 2.5% since 2003, making more households move into private renting.

There are 7,711 people living in 3,300 privately rented

properties in Tamworth.

In the next nine years, looking at the future population growth statistics for the Tamworth area and making careful and moderate calculations of what proportion of those extra people due to live in Tamworth will rent as opposed to buy, in the next ten years, 3,305 people (adults and children combined) will require a private rented property to live in.

Therefore, the number of Private Rented homes in Tamworth will need to rise by 1,414 households over the next nine years,

That’s 157 additional Tamworth properties per year that will need to be bought by Tamworth landlords, for the next nine years to meet that demand.

… and remember, I am being conservative (with a small ‘c’) with those calculations, as demand for privately rented homes in Tamworth could still rise more abruptly than I have predicted as I would ask if Theresa May’s policies of building 400,000 affordable homes (which would syphon in this 5-year Parliamentary term is rather optimistic, if not fanciful?

% of properties bought as BTL since 2016
% of properties bought as BTL since 2016

So, one has to ask wonder if it was wise to introduce a buy to let stamp duty surcharge of 3% and the constraint on mortgage tax relief could curtail and hold back the ability of private landlords to expand their portfolios?

Well a lot of landlords are taking on these new hurdles to buy to let and working smarter.  Buying the property at the right price and using an agent to negotiate on your behalf (we do this all the time) … and the 3% stamp duty level isn’t an issue.  Incorporating your property portfolio into a Limited Company is also a way to circumnavigate the issues of mortgage tax relief (although there are other hurdles that need to be navigated on that tack), but just look at the growth of proportion of Buy to Let properties in the Country since the Summer of 2016 … something tells me smart Landlords are seeing these challenges as just that … challenges which can be overcome by working smarter.

I have a steady stream of Tamworth landlords every week asking me my opinion on the future of the Tamworth property market and their individual future strategy and, whether you are a landlord of mine or not, if you ever want to send me an email or pop into my office to chat on how you could navigate these new Buy to Let waters … it will be good to speak to you (because you wouldn’t want other landlords to have an advantage over you – would you?).

Until next time, happy house hunting.

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Tamworth Property Market – Asking Prices Up 10.5% in the Last 12 Months

 

The average asking price of property in Tamworth increased by 10.5% or £24,289 compared to a year ago, with particularly good demand from landlords and home-movers in the first few months of the year. This takes the current average asking price to £254,954, compared with £230,665 this time last year.

The rise in asking prices is being aggravated by buyers jumping into action looking to benefit from potential stamp duty savings (especially first-time buyers) or beat impending mortgage interest rate rises later in 2018. Of the numerous Tamworth buyers starting their property hunting in the usually active spring market this year, many face paying even more than ever for the property of their dreams, although as I mentioned a few weeks ago, there are more properties for sale in Tamworth compared to 12 months ago.

Looking at the different sectors of the Tamworth property market, splitting it down into property types, one can see what is happening to each sector of the market with regard to their average asking prices now compared to a year ago. Firstly, looking at the Pound note amounts …

Interestingly, when one looks at the percentages, the most upward average asking price pressure is in the terraced and semi-detached property type sectors, with both first-time-buyer and second-time-buyer properties at new Tamworth asking price highs.

Now, I must stress this growth in the asking prices of Tamworth property doesn’t mean the value of Tamworth property is going up by the same amount … nothing could be further from the truth.  Only time will tell if the current levels of Tamworth asking prices is a catch-up abnormality after a couple of months of restrained asking price rises in the first few months of 2018, or is it an initial sign that we are in for a better 2018 Tamworth Property market than all of us were expecting at the start of the year?

I believe these asking prices must be viewed with a pinch of salt, as it will be fascinating to see whether Tamworth properties actually sell at these higher asking prices. Just because house sellers (be they owner-occupiers or landlords liquidating their assets) are asking for more money it doesn’t mean buyers will be enthusiastic to part with their hard earned cash. Like my Mum and Dad used to say to me all those years ago, “You can ask … but you might not get”.

Also, Tamworth homeowners and landlords wanting to sell their property need to be aware of progressively strained buyer mortgage affordability and the more those sellers increase asking prices, the more buyers will hit their maximum on the amount they are able borrow on a mortgage.

However, those Tamworth buyers who need a mortgage (be they owner-occupier or landlord), will paradoxically benefit from lower mortgage payments before interest rates rise … maybe another reason for the uplift in the number first time buyers and landlords buying? Only time will tell!

Want to know where those Tamworth buy to let bargains are?  Follow my Tamworth Property Blog or drop me an email because irrespective of which agent you use, myself or any of the other excellent agents in Tamworth, many local landlords ask me my thoughts, opinion and advice on what (and not) to buy locally … and I wouldn’t want you to miss out on those thoughts … would you?

If you want to learn about the Tamworth Property Market , one source for information is the Tamworth Property Blog authored by yours truly at https://www.tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

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Decreasing Numbers of Younger Homeowners in Tamworth

Kelvin Palmer, 35-year-old father of two from Tamworth, was out house hunting. It was a pleasant September Saturday afternoon, and our man cycles along on his bike. He cycles up a street of suburban semis, where he spots a few retired mature neighbours, chatting to each other over the garden fence. He leans his bicycle against a lamp post and launches softly into his property search.

Anyone on the road contemplating moving?” Mark asks, “I am not a landlord or developer, I’m just a Tamworth bloke trying to get out of renting, buy a house, do it up and live in it with my wife and two children

The only way I will leave here is in a box”, answers an 80-something lady, wearing her fading Paisley patterned housecoat from the 1970’s.

I‘ve lived here since before you were born, it’s lovely up here .. we aren’t moving, are we Doris? (as her neighbour sagely shook his head at his wife).

Kelvin, like many Tamworth people born in the late 1970’s to the early 1990’s, is keen to get a slice of prime Tamworth real estate. Yet people like Kelvin in Generation Y (or the Millennials as some people call them i.e. born between 1977 and 1994 and needing family housing now) are discovering, as each year passes by, they are becoming more neglected and ignored when it comes to moving up the property ladder.

Looking at the graph for the UK as whole …

Percentage of each age group that are home owners 1981 to today
Percentage of each age group that are home owners 1981 to todayOver 75 percent of Brits aged 65 and above (the baby boomers) are owner-occupiers, the biggest share since records began and a proportional rise of over 48.3% since the early 1980’s. Looking at those Baby Boomers (the current 65+year olds).. moreover roll the clock back 36 years (to when they were in their 30’s and 40’s and two thirds (65.6%) of them owned their own home.

Whilst today, just under a half of 25 to 49 year olds (47.3%) own their own home.

 

However, the biggest drop has been in the 18 to 24-year old’s, where homeownership has dropped from a third (32%) in the 1980’s to less than one in ten (8.9%) today. Looking at the Tamworth statistics, the numbers make even more interesting reading.

Tamworth statistics
Tamworth statistics

 

Government policy contributes to the generational stalemate. Stamp Duty rules prevent older Brits from moving as the price of land and planning rules make it harder to build affordable bungalows that are attractive to members of the older generation who want to move.

variable graph
variable graph

 

The average value of an acre of prime building land in the UK is between £750,000 and £800,000 per acre. Bungalows are the favoured option for the older generation, but the problem is bungalows take up too much land to make them profitable for new homes builders. The housing market is gridlocked with youngsters wanting to get on (then move up) the property ladder whilst the older generation, who want to move from their larger houses to smaller, more modern bungalows, can’t. The problem is – there simply aren’t enough bungalows being built and the high price of land, means they are prohibitive to build.

So, what is my point? Well, all I would say to the homeowners of Tamworth is that one solution could be to start to talk to your local councillors, so they can mould the planners’ thoughts and the local authority thinking in setting land aside for bungalows instead of two up two down starter homes? That would free the impasse at the top of the property ladder (i.e. mature people living in big houses but unable to move anywhere), releasing the middle aged gridlocked people in the ladder to move up, thus releasing more existing starter homes for the younger generation.

… and to you Kelvin … the wandering new home searcher – if things are going to change, it will be years before they do .. so keep going out and spreading the word of your search for a new home for your family.

Many of you reading my blog ask why I say these things. I want to share my thoughts and opinions on the real issues affecting the Tamworth property market, warts and all. If you want rose tinted glasses articles – then my articles are not for you. However, if you want someone to tell you the real story about the Tamworth property market, be it good, bad or indifferent, then maybe you should start reading my blog regularly. https://www.tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

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Ask Lorraine – I’m looking to get into buy to let in Tamworth

🙋  Landlord’s Question: 

I’m  looking to get into buy to let to help the shortfall in my pension which the government has stolen from me.  I’m keen to buy in Tamworth,  any quick hints and tips?

Welcome to Tamworth
Welcome to Tamworth

Lorraine’s Answer:

If you are considering becoming a landlord and buying a property to let out there are many things to consider. I think the number one thing is to decide exactly what you are looking to achieve.

Is it purely an income to subsidise your pension, capital growth, or even an investment that can be passed onto your children that you are looking for?

As a rule of thumb, you generally find that property with a high yield does not obtain a high capital growth and property with a high capital growth does not usually net a high yield.

The majority of landlords tend to buy a property that can give a decent growth potential with a yield that covers their costs plus a little extra.

The average yields in Tamworth are 5 % – 6%

So what  should you buy?

Landlords tend to buy locally to them as they have the knowledge of their own area and do not want to travel too far if they manage their own  properties.

I personally like a Victorian house, lots of character unlike the boxes of today, however the purse strings tend to be open a lot more on these properties, so I would say a two bedroom modern house which is in a good location would be a good bet.

Always buy a freehold property so that you don’t have the yearly maintenance charge eating into your yield and I wouldn’t recommend  buying a four bed if you are looking at single lets. Generally the bigger the house the lower the yield, plus larger properties tend to have more wear and tear from having a large family in residence.

Take into consideration any fees to purchase the Buy to Let before you start your property journey, stamp duty is payable… Details here

and have you sought advice as to any advantages of setting up a limited company, it’s usually only an advantage if you are purchasing a number of Buy to Lets, are in the higher tax band or looking to become a property tycoon.

Buy to let is still a good source of income even with the Government screwing over landlords. I’m always banging on about capital growth, so purchasing a Buy to Let should be a long term plan and not for the faint hearted, buy today and jump tomorrow.

*** If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk***

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