2 bed or 3 bed homes – Which Sell the Best in Tamworth?

A few months ago, I wrote an article on the Tamworth Property Blog about the length of time it took to sell a property in Tamworth and the saleability of the different price bands (i.e. whether the lower/middle or upper local property markets were moving slower or quicker than the others). For reference, a few months ago it was taking on average 34 days from the property coming on the market for it to be sold subject to contract (and that was based on every Estate Agent in Tamworth) … and today … 77 days  .. does that surprise you with what is happening in the UK economy?

Well, a number of Tamworth landlords and homeowners, who are looking to sell in the coming months, contacted me following that article to enquire what difference the type of property (i.e. Detached/Semi/Terraced/Apartment) made to saleability and also the saleability of property by the number of bedrooms) As I have said before, whether you are a Tamworth landlord looking to liquidate your buy to let investment or a homeowner looking to sell your home; finding a buyer and selling your property can take an annoyingly long time… but anything you can do to mitigate that is helpful to everyone.

So, I did some research on the whole of the Tamworth property market .. and these were my findings …  to start with by type (i.e. Detached/Semi/Terraced/Apartment)….

As you can see, the star players are the terraced/town house and semi-detached variants of Tamworth property, whilst detached seem to be sticking in Tamworth.

Next I looked at what the number of bedrooms does to the saleability of Tamworth property..

… and as you can see the four bed properties seem to be taking the longest time to sell ..and to answer the question in the title .. it’s three bed properties!

So, what does this mean for Tamworth buy-to-let landlords and homeowners?  

There is no doubt that there is a profusion of properties on the market in Tamworth compared to 18 months ago … it’s not because more houses are coming on to the market, it’s because they are also taking a little longer to sell. This makes it slightly more a buyer’s market than the seller’s market we had back in 2014/5/6. Therefore, in some sectors of the Tamworth property market, it is much tougher to sell, especially if you want to sell your Tamworth home fast.

Therefore, to conclude, on the run up to the New Year, if you are looking to buy and plan to stay in the buy to let market a long time, perhaps take a look at the Tamworth properties that are sticking as there could be some bargains to be had there? Want to know where they are .. drop me a line and I will tell you a nifty little trick to find all the properties that are sticking.

Contact me 01827 425195 lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

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Top 25 Most Saleable Streets in Tamworth B77 Postcode

Following on from my last article, if you recall I said that Tamworth Road had the most properties sold in the B77 Tamworth postcode, yet I felt that this information wasn’t telling the whole story, as some roads in Tamworth have more properties on them than others. Therefore, I promised that I would compare the average number of properties sold by the actual number of properties on that street, to find out the streets whose owners proportionally moved (or sold) more often than the rest of the locality.

To give some foundation to the article, in 2017 Tamworth homeowners had, on average, lived at their existing address for 17 years and 6 months. However, when I looked at the difference between homeowners with and without a mortgage; Tamworth homeowners without a mortgage had lived in their Tamworth home for an average of 23 years and 9 months compared with 10 years and 1 month for homeowners with a mortgage. Interestingly, Tamworth’s Council house tenants have on average resided at their present home for 11 years and 4 months, whilst finally for those who rent from a private landlord, tenants generally have lived in their property for an average of 3 years and 11 months (up from 3 years 5 months only five years ago).

The B77 street in the top 25 saleable streets with the highest number of households on it is Tamworth Road, which has 548 residential addresses (including surrounding villages). Yet since 1995, only 510 properties have changed hands (some multiple times!)  .. which means the street’s saleability or churn rate is 93.1%.

However, the street or road that has the highest saleability or churn rate is Celandine … which has 105 households on it, yet since 1995 there have been 254 house sales … a saleability rate of 241.9%. Here is the full breakdown of the top 25 streets …

So, as you can see, some interesting statistics and a lot more correlation between saleability rate and property values (unlike the article last time where we compared value to ‘out and out’ raw sales figures).

Therefore, what does this all mean to Tamworth homeowners and Tamworth landlords?  Well these 25 streets are the best performing streets out of the 609 streets in the Tamworth (B77) area so if you live/own a property on those 25 streets … you are sitting on a very saleable street. If you want to find out how saleable your street is .. please drop me a line and we can discuss this further.

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Tamworth House Prices vs Tamworth Rents since 2006

The Tamworth housing market is a fascinating beast and has been particularly interesting since the Credit Crunch of 2008/9 with the subsequent property market crash. There is currently some talk of a ‘property bubble’ nationally as Brexit seems to be the ‘go-to’ excuse for every issue in the Country. Upon saying that, looking at both what we do as an agent, and chatting with my fellow property professionals in Tamworth, the market has certainly changed for both buyers and sellers alike (be they Tamworth buy to let landlords, Tamworth first time buyers or Tamworth owner occupiers looking to make the move up the Tamworth property ladder).

Tamworth house values are 7.67% higher than a year ago, and the rents Tamworth tenants have to pay are 1.6% higher than a year ago

When we compare little old Tamworth to the national picture, national property values have risen by 0.4% compared to last month and risen by 3.0% compared to a year ago, and this will surprise you even more, as nationally, property values are 19.8% higher than January 2015 (compared to 11.4% higher in the EU in the same time frame).

However, if we look further back…

Since 2006, Tamworth house values are 35.36% higher, yet the rents Tamworth tenants have had to pay for their Tamworth rental property are 17.7% higher

Rent Vs House Prices
Rent Vs House Prices

 

…which sounds a lot, yet UK inflation in those 12 years has been 42%, meaning Tamworth tenants are 24.3% better off in ‘real spending power terms’.

Looking at the graph, the rental changes have been much gentler than the roller coaster ride of property values. I particularly want to bring to your attention the dip in Tamworth house values (in red) in the years of 2008 and 2009 … yet as Tamworth property values started to rise after the summer of 2009, see how Tamworth rents dipped 6/12 months later (the yellow bars)…. Fascinating!

So, we have a win for tenants and a win for the homeowners, as they are also happy due to the increase in the value of their Tamworth property.

However, maybe an even more interesting point is for the long-term Tamworth buy to let landlords. The performance of Tamworth rental income vs Tamworth house values has seen the resultant yields drop over time (if house prices rise quicker than rents – yields drop).

Whilst, it’s true Tamworth landlords have benefited from decent capital growth over the last decade –with the new tax rules for landlords – now more than ever, it’s so important to maximise one’s yields to ensure the long term health of your Tamworth buy to let portfolio. More and more I am sitting down with both Tamworth landlords of mine and landlords of other agents who might not be trained in these skills – to carry out an MOT style check on their Tamworth portfolio, to ensure your investment will meet your future needs of capital growth and income. If you don’t want to miss out on such a MOT check up, drop me a line – what have you got to lose? 30 minutes of time against peace of mind – the choice is yours.

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3.3% Drop in the Tamworth Property Market

The number of residential property transactions in Tamworth will be 3.3 per cent lower in 2018, compared to 2017. 

According to my research, the seasonally adjusted statistics for our local authority area suggest with the number of properties already sold in 2018, and the number of properties currently under offer or sold subject to contract (allowing for property sales to fall through before exchange of contracts) we, as an area, will end the year 3.29 per cent lower compared to 2017.

So why are transaction numbers so important to Tamworth homeowners, Tamworth landlords and potential first-time buyers?

Many economists and property market commentators believe transaction numbers give a more precise and truthful indicator of the health of the property market than just house values. In the six years before the Credit Crunch in 2007/8, the average number of completed property transactions in the local area (the local authority covered by Tamworth) stood at 1,548 per year .. yet in the three years following the Credit Crunch, on average, only 668 homes were changing hands per year in the area.

Roll the clock forward to more recent times and last year, in 2017, 1,192 homes changed hands (i.e. transacted and sold) in the area, not far off the local authority’s 23 year overall average of 1,250 homes per year.

In the past, a reduction in the number of properties selling has often been believed to be the first signal of a down turn in the housing market as a whole. Although, the down turn of the credit crunch years (2007/2008) was more a free-fall than a subtle down turn. Look at the graph and the ‘so-called’ halcyon days of the 2000 to 2006 property market were a roller coaster when it came to the number of transactions. House prices were rising in the six/seven years before the credit crunch (2000 to 2006), albeit, the rate of growth of Tamworth house prices did slow in late 2005 and 2006 (which does fit in nicely with the graph).

In other articles, I have mentioned the change in the number of houses for sale today compared to last year and further back. Although, the market has seen in recent months (i.e. the short term) an increase in the number of properties for sale, fundamentally, in the medium term, there has been an underlying trend in the reduction of properties coming onto the market for sale in Tamworth (and nationally) and this has been one of the main drives behind the lack of properties selling .. Tamworth people aren’t moving as much as they were 30 years ago meaning fewer houses are selling each year.

However, this short-term increase in properties for sale hasn’t been even across the board. In certain sectors of the Tamworth property market, there is a glut of properties on the market at the moment and so prices and values are dropping on those types as sellers compete for the limited amount of buyers… yet, there are other sectors of the Tamworth property market where there is a dearth, a shortage of property, and buyers are fighting tooth and nail with silly offers to try and secure the sale. This means, there are some bargains for you Tamworth buy to let landlords. If you look hard enough, you could spot the same trends I have seen in Tamworth and find the individual property micro markets that fall into that first sector (with its glut).

So, if you want the inside track on the Tamworth property market, whether you are a landlord of ours or another agent, I am more than happy to guide you in the right direction if you drop me a line or an email (contacts details are easily found on this page – and I don’t bite or do hard sell – promise!).

So, to conclude, I believe we will finish on 1,153 housing transactions by the end of the year in the area .. not too far off last year’s figure or the long-term 23-year average. Looking at the short term future, now it’s true some (not all) but some potential purchasers of property in Tamworth may be exhibiting more caution because of concerns that the Bank of England will continue to put up interest rates– to which I reply – yes of course they will when they are only ultra-low at 0.75%. Anyway, that is the reason why 90%+ of new mortgages over the last nine months have been on a fixed rate. Also, if they do go up a few percentage points – they are nothing compared to the 12%, 14%, even 15% mortgage rates many of my landlords saw in the early 1990’s.

We can all speculate (and I appreciate the irony of that as I write this article) but all I say to any Tamworth landlords, Tamworth homeowners or Tamworth first time buyers is act according to your own life cycle, budget on a modest increase in interest rates in the coming few years (yet protect yourself by fixing it), consider your own circumstances and finally, what you can afford.

If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

Don’t forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Tamworth Property News.

Blog  – https://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  https://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

How Would a Hard Brexit Affect Tamworth House Prices?

I have been asked a number of times recently what a hard Brexit would mean to the Tamworth property market. To be frank, I have been holding off giving my thoughts, as I did not want to add fuel to the stories being banded around in the national press. However, it’s obviously a topic that you as Tamworth buy to let landlords and Tamworth homeowners are interested in … so I am going to try and give you what I consider a fair and unbiased piece on what would happen if a hard Brexit takes place in March 2019.

After the weather and football, the British obsession on the UK property market is without comparison to any other country in the world. I swear The Daily Mail has the state of the country’s property market on its standard weekly rotation of front-page stories! Like I have said before on my blog, there are better economic indexes and statistics to judge the economy (and more importantly) the property market. If you recall, I said the number of transactions was just as important, if not more, as a bellwether of the state of the property market.

Worries that the Brexit referendum would lead to a fast crash in Tamworth (and national) property values were unfounded, although the growth of property values in Tamworth has reduced since the referendum in the summer of 2016.

Now, it’s true the Tamworth property market is seeing less people sell and move and the property values are rising at a slower rate in 2018 compared to the heady days of the first half of this decade (2010 to 2015), but before we all start panicking, let’s ask ourselves, what exactly has happened in the last couple of years since the Brexit vote?

Tamworth house prices have risen by 14.77% since the

EU Referendum… 

…and yes, in 2018 we are on track (and again this is projected) to finish on 1,128 property transactions (i.e. the number of people selling their home) … which is less than 2017 … but still higher than the long term 12 year average of 975 transactions in the local council area.

So, it appears the EU vote hasn’t caused many major issues so far, however, if there was a large economic jolt, that could be a different game, yet how likely is that?

The property market is mostly influenced by interest rates and salaries.

A hard Brexit would subdue wage growth to some degree, yet the level of the change will depend on the undetermined type of Brexit deal (or no deal). If trade barriers are imposed on a hard Brexit, imports will become more expensive, inflation will rise and growth will fall, although at least we are not in the Euro, meaning this could be tempered by the exchange rate of the Pound against the Euro. In plain language, a hard Brexit will be worse for house prices than a deal.

So why did the Governor of the Bank of England suggest a disorderly hard Brexit would affect house prices by up to 35%?

I mean it was only nine years ago we went through the global financial crisis with the credit crunch. Nationally, in most locations including Tamworth, property values dropped in value by 16% to 19% over an 18-month period. Look at the graph and if we had a similar percentage drop, it would only take us back to the property value levels we were achieving in 2015.

And let’s not forget that the Bank of England introduced some measures to ensure we didn’t have another bubble in any future property market. One of the biggest factors of the 2009 property crash was the level of irresponsible lending by the banks. The Bank of England Mortgage Market Review of 2014 forced Banks to lend on how much borrowers had left after regular expenditure, rather than on their income. Income multipliers that were 8 or 9 times income pre-credit crunch were significantly curtailed (meaning a Bank could only offer a small number of residential mortgages above 4.5 times income), and that Banks had to assess whether the borrower could afford the mortgage if interest rates at the time of lending rose by three percentage points over the first five years of the loan … meaning all the major possible stumbling blocks have been mostly weeded out of the system.

So, what next?

A lot of Tamworth homeowners might wait until 2019 to move, meaning less choice for buyers, especially in the desirable areas of Tamworth. For Tamworth landlords, Tamworth tenants are also likely to hang off moving until next year, although I suspect (as we had this on the run up to the 2015 General Election when it was thought Labour might get into Government), during the lull, there could be some Tamworth buy to let bargains to be had from people having to move (Brexit or No Brexit) or the usual panic selling at times of uncertainty.

Brexit, No Brexit, Hard Brexit … in the whole scheme of things, it will be another footnote to history in a decade. We have survived the Oil Crisis, 20%+ Hyperinflation in the 1970’s, Mass Unemployment in the 1980s, Interest Rates of 15% in 1990’s, the Global Financial Crash in 2009 … whatever happens, happens. People still need houses and a roof over their head. If property values drop, it is only a paper drop in value … because you lose when you actually sell. Long term, we aren’t building enough homes, and so, as I always say, property is a long game no matter what happens – the property market will always come good.

Growth in UK property values as well as in Tamworth seems fated to slow over the next five to ten years, whatever sort of Brexit takes place.

If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

Don’t forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Tamworth Property News.

Blog  – https://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  https://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

Tamworth Property Market – Summer 2018 Update

I was recently reading a report by Rightmove that a North South Divide has started to appear in the UK property market – so I wanted to see if Tamworth was falling in line with those thoughts.  In the North, there are 7.12% less properties on the market than 12 months ago, whilst in contrast, in the South, there are 14.7% more properties on the market than 12 months ago.

With the decline in the number of properties for sale in the North compared to 12 months ago, that means the North is more of a sellers’ market.  However, on the other side of the coin, there is a significant rise in buyer choice in all of the Southern regions, showing there are signs of a buyers’ market, which in some markets is a driving force for a buyers’ market and some downwards price pressure.

So, looking closer to home at asking prices and the number of homes on the market. In the West Midlands region, according to Rightmove, the average asking prices of new to the market properties are 5.5% higher than 12 months ago and 0.4% higher over the last month.  Now I must stress, this is asking prices – not what is happening to actual property values.  Also, regionally, there are 2.2% less properties on the market than 12 months ago.

Even closer to home, overall, the number of properties and building plots for sale in Tamworth has increased by 37%, going from 362 properties for sale a year ago to 496 properties for sale as I write this article, meaning Tamworth does not in fact match the regional trend.

Looking at the individual types of Tamworth property, you can quite clearly see the different markets within Tamworth.  The two sets of figures that stand out are the increase in Terraced/town houses for sale, rising 68% and the increase in Apartments by just 16%.

 

(NB There are a handful more Building plots and other types of property that can’t be placed into the four category’s … and it’s those that make up the total numbers in the paragraph above the table)

Although these figures don’t tell the whole story because in certain areas of Tamworth, certain types of properties (particular locations and Primary school catchment areas) are in short supply.  This has caused some frustration with buyers of those types of properties with this lack of supply, which in turn has sparked some very localised asking price growth within those hot spot areas, although sometimes to levels where sellers optimism turns into silly over the top asking prices.

This means the property sticks, which isn’t sustainable, therefore as a consequence, there are certain parts of the Tamworth housing market with upward asking price movements being offset in part by intermittent asking price reductions where home owners or their estate agents have been over optimistic with their initial marketing asking price.

What does this mean for homeowners and landlords in Tamworth?

If you are planning to sell your home or buy to let investment, the key for determined sellers is to set your asking price correctly from the start.  It’s so vital to be competitive to attract buyers.  Everyone has access to three main property portals (Rightmove, On the Market and Zoopla) so can easily compare your property against similar ones.  When you do search these portals, make sure you ask the website to show properties that are sold subject to contract as well to check what properties are selling for in your neighbourhood. Unless you have something highly unusual or unique, this perhaps isn’t the best market to set an optimistic asking price in hoping to find someone who would pay that silly price.

And if you are buying in Tamworth?  The numbers of buyers are lower than a few years ago, although those buyers that are in the market have become quite serious.  The times of time wasting “carpet treaders” (estate agency slang for the same type of people car dealers call tyre kickers) are long gone.  Those buyers that are in the market are real buyers, wanting to buy, but only at the right price.  We live in a 21st century society that is “time-poor” so nobody is wanting to even view a house, let alone pay over the odds if they believe the asking price is too high.  So, if you are buying, do your homework, ask plenty of questions of the agent, find out the motivation of the sellers and the real reasons behind why they are moving … and you might just bag a good deal?

If you are interested in the Tamworth Property Market and haven’t signed up to the Tamworth Property Blog you are missing out on critical/ important information that all landlords should consider when renting out their property.  Visit the Tamworth Property Blog at www.tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

 

 

‘Taxing’ Time for the 1,883 Tamworth Buy To Let Landlords

Over the last twenty years, there has been a shift in the way the Tamworth (and the UK’s) property market works. In the 1960’s, 70’s, 80’s and 90’s, a large majority of twenty somethings saved up their 5% deposit, went without life’s luxuries of going out and holidays etc., for a couple of years and then bought their first home with their hard earned savings.

By 2000, 57.6% of Tamworth 25 to 29 years owned their own home (compared to 46% Nationally (and 80.5% of Tamworth 30 to 34 year olds in 2000 owned their own home – again compared to 64.2% nationally) whilst the remaining youngsters mostly rented from the Council and in some rare cases, privately rented.

Now it’s 2018, and those levels of homeownership have slipped dramatically and now only 30.7% of Tamworth 25 to 29 year olds own their own home and 54.2% of Tamworth 30 to 34 year olds own their own home (interestingly mirroring the National picture of 24.5% for the younger age cohort and 64.2% for the older 30 to 34 year cohort).

There was concern in Government since the late Noughties that this shift from homeownership to private renting wasn’t good for the well-being of the Country and things needed to change, to make it a more level playing field for first time buyers. House prices needed to be more realistic and there needed to be a carrot and stick for both landlords and first time buyers.

In the 1980’s and 1990’s, interest rates were the weapon of choice of Government to cool or heat up the UK housing market – and it did work – up to a point. It’s just interest rates also affected so many other sectors of the UK economy (and not always a in good way). The policy of interest rates to control the economy is called ‘Monetary Policy’. Monetary policy is primarily concerned with the management of interest rates (and the supply of money) and is carried out by the Bank of England (under direction from the Government).

It’s just in this post Credit Crunch, Brexit environment, the use of higher interest rates wouldn’t directly affect landlords (as around two thirds of buy to let properties are bought without a mortgage). Therefore, an increase in interest rates would have hardly any effect on landlords and hit the first time buyers – the people the Government would be trying to help!

Also, given muted growth of real income (i.e. real income being the growth salaries after inflation) in the past few years, an uplift in interest rates (from their ultra-low 0.5% current levels) would have a massive effect on Brit’s household disposable income. Yet, over 90% of new mortgages in 2018 being taken are fixed rate and with such low rates, it has made buying a property comparatively attractive.

Instead, over the last 8 years, the Government has encouraged first time buyers and clipped the wings of landlords with another type of economic policy – Fiscal Policy (Fiscal Policy is the collective term for the taxing (and spending) actions of the Government).  First time buyers have had the Help to Buy Scheme, Stamp Duty Exemption and contributions to their deposit by HMRC. On the other side the coin, landlords have had the way they are able to offset the tax relief of their mortgage payments against income change (for the worse), an increase in Stamp Duty (for the worse) and they will be hit with additional costs as the Government will be phasing out fees to tenants in the next 12 to 18 months.

So, what does this all mean for the 1,883 Tamworth landlords?

The days of making money in Tamworth buy to let with your eyes closed are long gone. There are going to be testing times for Tamworth landlords, yet there is still a defined opportunity for those Tamworth landlords who are willing to do their homework and take guidance from specialists and experts.

It’s all about looking at your Tamworth portfolio (or getting a property professional to do so) and ascertaining if your current portfolio, mortgage and gearing are designed to hit what you want from the investment (because that is what it is – an investment) in terms of income now and income in the future, capital growth and when you plan to dispose of your assets.

I have seen many Tamworth landlords (both who use me and my competitors) to manage their rental property or find them tenants – and on many occasions recently, I have told them to SELL – yes sell some of their portfolio to either reduce mortgage debt or buy other types of property that match what they want in the short and long-term from their investments. I know that sounds strange – but my role isn’t just to collect the rent  .. it’s also to give strategic advice and opinion on the landlord’s portfolio to help them meet their current and future investment goals.

The opportunities will appear in the Tamworth property market for Tamworth landlords from gentler growth in property values linked with a restrained Tamworth property market, meaning if you put in the time, there will be deals and great bargains to have. Many landlords in Tamworth (both clients and non-clients) send me Rightmove links each week, asking my opinion on the suitability of the investment. Some are exceptional – whilst others are duds. The bottom line is, private renting will continue to outgrow first time buyers in the next 5 to 10 years and as we aren’t building enough homes in the UK, which means rents can only go in one direction – upwards!

If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

Don’t forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Tamworth Property News.

Blog  – https://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  https://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

What Will Happen to Tamworth Property Values Now Interest Rates Have Risen?

welcome to Tamworth
welcome to Tamworth

The current average value of a property in Tamworth currently stands at £214,600 and the base rates at 0.5%. In many of my articles, I talk about what is happening to property values over the short term (i.e. the last 12 months or the last 5 years), but to answer this question we need to go back over 40 years, to 1975.

The average value of a Tamworth property in 1975 was £10,389

However, since 1975, we have experienced in the UK, inflation of 807.5%.

Back in 1975, the average salary was £2,291 and average car was £1,840. A loaf of bread was 16p, milk was 28p a pint and a 2lb bag of sugar was 30p. Inflation has increased prices, so comparing like for like, we need to change these prices into today’s money. In real spending power terms, an average value of a Tamworth house in 1975, expressed in terms of today’s prices is £94,294.

That means in real terms, property costs a lot more today, than in the mid 1970’s, but has it always been that way? Looking at the important dates of the UK property market, you can see from this table, the last two property boom years of 1989 and 2007, show that there was a significant uplift in the cost/value of property (when calculated in today’s prices).

Tamworth House Prices Adjusted for Retail Prices.
1975 1979 1982 1989 1997 2007 2009 Today
£87,229 £102,347 £85,512 £151,946 £95,479 £249,379 £203,263 £214,600
Office for National Statistics Retail Price Index was applied to convert nominal property values to current values

Before we move on, hold onto the thought that you can quite clearly see from the table, in real terms, properties are cheaper today in Tamworth than they were in 2007!

So, it made me wonder if there was a link between house prices, inflation and other external economic factors, such as interest rates? Interest rates have a strong influence on inflation and property values, principally because changes in the interest rate affect the cost of mortgage payments for homeowners and they affect the flow of foreign currency in (or out) of an economy, thus changing the exchange rate and prices we can sell our goods and services abroad and prices we pay on imports.

So how exactly do interest rates affect property values?

When interest rates rise, it has a substantial effect on increasing the monthly cost of mortgages. Higher mortgage payments will discourage prospective homebuyers or people looking to move up market (meaning their mortgage payments go up) – thus making it comparatively cheaper to rent.

Furthermore, the high cost of mortgage payments sometimes also pushes some existing home owners to sell, meaning there is an increase in house sellers and a decline in house purchasers, and as the law of economics state, when supply is increased and demand falls, (house) prices fall.

Another fallout of a rise in mortgage payments is a rise in repossessions. Interestingly, repossessions in the UK rose from 15,000 per annum in the late 1980’s to over 75,000 per annum in the early 1990’s, meaning even more properties came onto the market, exasperating the issue of over supply – pushing property values even lower.

 

High interest rates caused property values to fall in mid 1970’s, early 1980’s and most recently, the early 1990’s (who can remember the 15% mortgage rate!) Conversely though, the drop in property values in 2008/2009 – was not due to interest rates, but due to the credit crunch and global recession.

So, what will happen now interest rates have risen?

It is vital to remember that interest rates are not the only factor affecting property values. It is also possible that when interest rates increase (which they will from the current 0.5%), property values can also continue to rise (it happened throughout the mid to late 1980’s and again between the boom years of 2002 and 2007). When confidence in the economy is good, and we as a Country experience a period of rising real incomes (i.e. after inflation), then the British in the past have continued to buy bricks and mortar, notwithstanding the rise in interest rates.

Another important factor on property values is the supply of housing. A big reason in the current level of Tamworth house prices is due to the shortage of supply, which has kept property values higher than I would have expected.

An additional factor is whether homeowners have a variable or fixed rate mortgage. 90.6% of new mortgages taken in the last Quarter were at a fixed rate, and 66.2% of all mortgaged homeowners are on fixed-rate mortgages, therefore, they will not notice the effects of higher interest rate payments until they re-mortgage in a few year’s time, meaning there is frequently a time-lag between higher interest rates and the effect on property values.

Another factor on mortgages is the ability to get one in the first place. Back in 2014, mortgage providers were told to be stricter on their lending criteria when arranging mortgages following the footloose days of 125% loan to value mortgages with the Northern Rock.  These new rules are a lot more rigorous on borrowers’ ability to repay the payments (although it makes me laugh, when with starter homes it nearer is always cheaper to buy then rent!).

I think the final point is this … affordability is the key. Look at the graph (the red bars) and you will see in REAL HOUSE PRICE terms – it’s cheaper to buy a home today than it was in 2007, yet why aren’t we seeing people buying property at the levels we were seeing in the 2000’s before the credit crunch? Again, looking at the reasons why, I will talk about in future articles.

In conclusion, interest rates are important – but nowhere near as important on the Tamworth (and British) property market than they were 15 or 20 years ago.

So, before I go, one final thought – how do we measure the success of the Tamworth property market? Well I believe one measure that is a good bellwether is the number of property transactions, as that could show a more truthful picture of the health of the property market than property values. Maybe I should talk about that in an up and coming article?

If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

Don’t forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Tamworth Property News.

Blog  – https://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  https://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

Additional 1,414 Tamworth Rented Homes Required by 2027

I have been doing some research, looking both at National and Regional reports on the demand and supply of property and people together with future projections on the economy, population and family demographics with some interesting results.  According to the Office of National Statistics, in the last financial year nationally, private renting grew by 74,000 households, whilst the owner occupied dwelling stock increased by 101,000 and social (aka council and housing association) stock increased by 12,000 dwellings.

It was the private rental figures that caught my eye.  With eight or nine years of recovery since the Credit Crunch, economic recovery and continuing low interest rates have done little to setback the mounting need for rented housing.  In fact, with house price inflation pushing upwards much quicker than wage growth, this has meant to make owning one’s home even more out of reach for many Millennials, all at a time when the number of council/social housing has shrunk by just over 2.5% since 2003, making more households move into private renting.

There are 7,711 people living in 3,300 privately rented

properties in Tamworth.

In the next nine years, looking at the future population growth statistics for the Tamworth area and making careful and moderate calculations of what proportion of those extra people due to live in Tamworth will rent as opposed to buy, in the next ten years, 3,305 people (adults and children combined) will require a private rented property to live in.

Therefore, the number of Private Rented homes in Tamworth will need to rise by 1,414 households over the next nine years,

That’s 157 additional Tamworth properties per year that will need to be bought by Tamworth landlords, for the next nine years to meet that demand.

… and remember, I am being conservative (with a small ‘c’) with those calculations, as demand for privately rented homes in Tamworth could still rise more abruptly than I have predicted as I would ask if Theresa May’s policies of building 400,000 affordable homes (which would syphon in this 5-year Parliamentary term is rather optimistic, if not fanciful?

% of properties bought as BTL since 2016
% of properties bought as BTL since 2016

So, one has to ask wonder if it was wise to introduce a buy to let stamp duty surcharge of 3% and the constraint on mortgage tax relief could curtail and hold back the ability of private landlords to expand their portfolios?

Well a lot of landlords are taking on these new hurdles to buy to let and working smarter.  Buying the property at the right price and using an agent to negotiate on your behalf (we do this all the time) … and the 3% stamp duty level isn’t an issue.  Incorporating your property portfolio into a Limited Company is also a way to circumnavigate the issues of mortgage tax relief (although there are other hurdles that need to be navigated on that tack), but just look at the growth of proportion of Buy to Let properties in the Country since the Summer of 2016 … something tells me smart Landlords are seeing these challenges as just that … challenges which can be overcome by working smarter.

I have a steady stream of Tamworth landlords every week asking me my opinion on the future of the Tamworth property market and their individual future strategy and, whether you are a landlord of mine or not, if you ever want to send me an email or pop into my office to chat on how you could navigate these new Buy to Let waters … it will be good to speak to you (because you wouldn’t want other landlords to have an advantage over you – would you?).

Until next time, happy house hunting.

Blog  –    https://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  https://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

Things to consider when buying a Tamworth Buy-to-let property

If you are thinking of becoming a Buy-to-Let Landlord there are many things to consider when looking for a property. The most important – what exactly are you looking to achieve.

welcome to Tamworth
welcome to Tamworth

It may be income, capital growth or an investment that can be passed down to your children or a combination of all of these.

Not all properties meet each of these criteria to the same degree. As a general rule property with a high yield is more likely to suffer low capital growth and the reverse is also true.

Most landlords try to buy a property that has a sensible growth potential with a yield that will at least cover their costs.

Average yield in Tamworth? 4% to 6%

Generally a two bedroom modern house which is in a good location is the best buy.

Victorian may have lots of character and appeal but the maintenance of these properties tend to be higher.

A flat will usually be leasehold so you have the annual service charges to consider. Flats tend to have a lower capital growth as there are usually quite a few on the market.

A three bedroom house  is a good buy however there will be more wear and tear from a family occupying the property so your maintenance charges are generally higher.

If you are sitting on the fence and contemplating when’s the right time to buy ? well it’s a bit like having  kids – when is the right time to start a family. By procrastinating and never committing, your property journey will never start!

Our property journey started some 10 years ago with at least another 10 years spent hesitating. When we finally did dip our toes into the Buy-to-Let market it was the best thing we ever did, that is apart from starting our family.

Don’t forget …You will have to pay stamp duty for second home purchases,. Details here

There are some advantages  of setting up a limited company to purchase the property, but they are limited unless you are buying several properties. An accountant will be able to advise.

Almost certainly  you will need to pay income tax on the income, but you should take advice from an accountant and you will need to complete tax returns annually.

You will need to pay CGT  (capital Gains Tax) when you sell assuming the profit exceeds your annual allowance and purchasing costs. There are things you can do to mitigate this cost which your accountant can help you with.

So like us, if you are in property for the long haul, you won’t get rich quickly however you will make money in years to come and you may even enjoy being a property landlord!

If you are thinking of getting into the property rental market and don’t know where to start, speak to us for impartial advice and guidance to get the best return on your investment. For more information about other potential investment properties that we could introduce you to, or to ask about our thoughts on your own investment choices, call us now on 01827 425195, you can always email me on Lorraine@hallandthompson.co.uk

Don’t forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Tamworth Property News.

Blog  –

http://www.Tamworthpropertyblog.co.uk

Facebook – – https://www.facebook.com/hallandthompsonestateagents

Twitter – https://twitter.com/hallandthompson

Website  –  http://www.hallandthompson.co.uk

 

Happy House Hunting